133 lines
3.1 KiB
JSON
133 lines
3.1 KiB
JSON
{
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"sphragis_version": "0.1.0",
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"generated_at": "2026-07-27T16:17:13.291817+00:00",
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"reference": {
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"endpoint": "http://127.0.0.1:8080/v1",
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"model": "ref"
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},
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"candidate": {
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"endpoint": "http://127.0.0.1:8081/v1",
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"model": "cand"
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},
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"pack": {
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"name": "/root/pack_v2.jsonl",
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"n_tasks": 2800,
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"sha256": "2de27099bbb15bab4f7b35599b215f038fdb68b3f5f4e1cda1a464f9dd18e14e"
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},
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"overall": "FAIL",
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"claim": "At least one axis shows a statistically significant accuracy regression (exact McNemar, Holm-corrected, alpha=0.05).",
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"axes": [
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{
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"axis": "arithmetic",
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"n": 1400,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 237,
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"ref_only": 203,
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"cand_only": 88,
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"both_wrong": 872
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.314286,
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"acc_candidate": 0.232143,
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"regression_d": 0.082143,
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"d_ci": [
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0.058571,
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0.106429
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],
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"d_upper_bound": 0.102857,
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"p_regression": 0.0,
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"p_regression_holm": 0.0,
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"p_improvement": 1.0,
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"improved": false,
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"mde_at_power": 0.030275,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 1426,
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"verdict": "FAIL",
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"reason": "significant_regression"
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},
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{
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"axis": "instruction",
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"n": 600,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 0,
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"ref_only": 11,
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"cand_only": 16,
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"both_wrong": 573
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.018333,
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"acc_candidate": 0.026667,
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"regression_d": -0.008333,
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"d_ci": [
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-0.025,
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0.008333
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],
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"d_upper_bound": 0.005,
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"p_regression": 0.87610572,
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"p_regression_holm": 1.0,
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"p_improvement": 0.22103417,
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"improved": false,
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"mde_at_power": 0.021496,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 308,
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"verdict": "PASS",
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"reason": "non_inferior_within_margin"
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},
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{
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"axis": "knowledge",
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"n": 400,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 57,
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"ref_only": 67,
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"cand_only": 38,
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"both_wrong": 238
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.31,
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"acc_candidate": 0.2375,
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"regression_d": 0.0725,
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"d_ci": [
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0.0225,
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0.1225
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],
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"d_upper_bound": 0.115,
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"p_regression": 0.00300804,
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"p_regression_holm": 0.00902412,
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"p_improvement": 0.99838951,
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"improved": false,
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"mde_at_power": 0.063531,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 1802,
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"verdict": "FAIL",
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"reason": "significant_regression"
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},
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{
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"axis": "reasoning",
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"n": 400,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 50,
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"ref_only": 34,
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"cand_only": 35,
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"both_wrong": 281
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.21,
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"acc_candidate": 0.2125,
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"regression_d": -0.0025,
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"d_ci": [
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-0.045,
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0.0375
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],
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"d_upper_bound": 0.0325,
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"p_regression": 0.59502547,
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"p_regression_holm": 1.0,
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"p_improvement": 0.5,
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"improved": false,
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"mde_at_power": 0.051501,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 1183,
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"verdict": "INCONCLUSIVE",
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"reason": "ci_too_wide"
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}
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],
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"params": {
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"margin": 0.03,
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"alpha": 0.05,
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"n_floor": 30,
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"power": 0.8,
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"n_boot": 4000,
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"seed": 0
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}
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} |