133 lines
3.2 KiB
JSON
133 lines
3.2 KiB
JSON
{
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"sphragis_version": "0.1.0",
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"generated_at": "2026-07-27T19:49:25.414448+00:00",
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"reference": {
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"endpoint": "http://127.0.0.1:8080/v1",
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"model": "ref"
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},
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"candidate": {
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"endpoint": "http://127.0.0.1:8081/v1",
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"model": "cand"
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},
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"pack": {
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"name": "/root/pack_v2.jsonl",
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"n_tasks": 2800,
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"sha256": "2de27099bbb15bab4f7b35599b215f038fdb68b3f5f4e1cda1a464f9dd18e14e"
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},
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"overall": "FAIL",
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"claim": "At least one axis shows a statistically significant accuracy regression (exact McNemar, Holm-corrected, alpha=0.05).",
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"axes": [
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{
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"axis": "arithmetic",
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"n": 1400,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 970,
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"ref_only": 117,
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"cand_only": 74,
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"both_wrong": 239
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.776429,
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"acc_candidate": 0.745714,
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"regression_d": 0.030714,
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"d_ci": [
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0.011429,
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0.05
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],
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"d_upper_bound": 0.047143,
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"p_regression": 0.00114373,
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"p_regression_holm": 0.00457492,
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"p_improvement": 0.99930487,
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"improved": false,
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"mde_at_power": 0.024527,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 936,
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"verdict": "FAIL",
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"reason": "significant_regression"
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},
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{
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"axis": "instruction",
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"n": 600,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 274,
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"ref_only": 30,
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"cand_only": 59,
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"both_wrong": 237
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.506667,
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"acc_candidate": 0.555,
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"regression_d": -0.048333,
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"d_ci": [
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-0.078333,
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-0.018333
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],
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"d_upper_bound": -0.023333,
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"p_regression": 0.99933237,
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"p_regression_holm": 1.0,
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"p_improvement": 0.00139263,
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"improved": true,
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"mde_at_power": 0.039027,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 1017,
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"verdict": "PASS",
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"reason": "non_inferior_within_margin"
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},
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{
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"axis": "knowledge",
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"n": 400,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 326,
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"ref_only": 25,
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"cand_only": 20,
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"both_wrong": 29
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.8775,
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"acc_candidate": 0.865,
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"regression_d": 0.0125,
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"d_ci": [
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-0.02,
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0.045
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],
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"d_upper_bound": 0.04,
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"p_regression": 0.27574216,
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"p_regression_holm": 0.82722649,
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"p_improvement": 0.81435098,
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"improved": false,
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"mde_at_power": 0.041591,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 771,
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"verdict": "INCONCLUSIVE",
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"reason": "ci_too_wide"
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},
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{
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"axis": "reasoning",
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"n": 400,
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"counts": {
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"both_correct": 256,
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"ref_only": 7,
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"cand_only": 79,
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"both_wrong": 58
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},
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"acc_reference": 0.6575,
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"acc_candidate": 0.8375,
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"regression_d": -0.18,
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"d_ci": [
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-0.2225,
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-0.1375
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],
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"d_upper_bound": -0.145,
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"p_regression": 1.0,
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"p_regression_holm": 1.0,
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"p_improvement": 0.0,
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"improved": true,
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"mde_at_power": 0.057496,
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"n_needed_for_margin": 1475,
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"verdict": "PASS",
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"reason": "non_inferior_within_margin"
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}
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],
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"params": {
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"margin": 0.03,
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"alpha": 0.05,
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"n_floor": 30,
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"power": 0.8,
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"n_boot": 4000,
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"seed": 0
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}
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} |